Minnesota Twins at Chicago White Sox: Final Score & Recap

The Chicago White Sox defeated the Minnesota Twins 4-1 at Rate Field on September 4, 2026, with the DiamondIQ model's estimate moving from a 59 percent pre-game home win probability all the way to 100 percent by the final out. Chicago built its advantage incrementally, scoring in the first, second, and fourth innings before Minnesota managed its lone run in the ninth against a game that was already well out of reach.

The two most decisive swings of the game came off the bat of the Montgomery duo against Twins starter Zebby Matthews. Braden Montgomery opened the scoring in the bottom of the second with a home run that shifted win probability 7.0 percent in Chicago's favor. Then in the bottom of the fourth, Colson Montgomery delivered the knockout blow with another home run off Matthews, the single biggest play of the night at plus 13.1 percent win probability. Minnesota's offense offered little resistance, with Kaelen Culpepper's pop out in the fourth costing the Twins 3.9 percent win probability and Walker Jenkins's groundout in the second bleeding another 3.8 percent, each coming against White Sox starter Erick Fedde.

Fedde was the performance anchor of the evening, finishing with a model-leading plus 16.9 percent WPA as he methodically suppressed the Minnesota lineup. Hagen Smith added plus 6.2 percent WPA out of the bullpen, aided in part by Josh Bell grounding into a double play in the sixth that erased a potential threat. On the offensive side, Colson Montgomery led all batters at plus 10.6 percent WPA and plus 1.1 RE24, with Bell matching that RE24 figure despite his bases-clearing miscue, while Braden Montgomery contributed plus 6.2 percent WPA and plus 0.6 RE24 to round out Chicago's most impactful contributors.