MLB Recap · August 29, 2026

Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins: Final Score & Recap

CWS3
Final
MIN2

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
CWS100101000330
MIN110000000251

The Story

The Chicago White Sox defeated the Minnesota Twins 3-2 at Target Field on August 29, 2026, completing a road victory that the DiamondIQ model assessed as a dead-even contest before first pitch, with the Twins carrying a 48 percent home win probability. The game unfolded as a tight, low-scoring affair that was ultimately decided by a handful of high-leverage moments rather than sustained offensive production, with Chicago finishing with just three hits against five for Minnesota.

The pivotal swing came in the top of the sixth inning, when Andrew Benintendi connected on a home run off Andrew Morris, a blow that shifted win probability by 14.3 percentage points in Chicago's favor and gave the White Sox what proved to be the decisive run. Earlier, in the top of the fourth, a fielding error off Bailey Ober on a Chase Meidroth plate appearance had already nudged Chicago's advantage, adding 9.7 percentage points to their win probability. Minnesota's best opportunity to claw back came in the bottom of the eighth, when Josh Bell grounded out against Sean Newcomb with a 12.9 percentage point swing against the Twins' chances. The Twins threatened again in the ninth against Bryan Hudson, but both a Kaelen Culpepper groundout and a Royce Lewis groundout ended the game, the former carrying a remarkable 31.6 percentage point swing as the most consequential single play of the night.

Sean Newcomb was the game's dominant force by the model's accounting, finishing with a 40.9 percent WPA that reflected his effectiveness in shutting down Minnesota's late threats. Kaelen Culpepper led position players with a 22.7 percent WPA despite a negative RE24 of -0.9, a figure explained by his game-ending groundout coming in a situation where it ended the Twins' final rally. Benintendi followed at 16.1 percent WPA with a more straightforward run-creation profile, posting a 1.7 RE24 to accompany his go-ahead home run.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025CWS bats firstFinalMIN win %CWS win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 47.7% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Kaelen Culpepper — Groundout
Bot 9th · off Bryan Hudson
+31.6%
Andrew Benintendi — Home Run
Top 6th · off Andrew Morris
+14.3%
Josh Bell — Groundout
Bot 8th · off Sean Newcomb
-12.9%
Chase Meidroth — Field Error
Top 4th · off Bailey Ober
+9.7%
Royce Lewis — Groundout
Bot 9th · off Bryan Hudson
-8.5%

Top Batters by WPA

Kaelen Culpepper+22.7%-0.9 RE24
Andrew Benintendi+16.1%+1.7 RE24
Walker Jenkins+4.2%+0.5 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

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