Milwaukee Brewers at New York Mets: Final Score & Recap

The New York Mets walked off the Milwaukee Brewers 3-2 in ten innings on August 25, 2026 at Citi Field, erasing a deficit in the ninth before winning it in extras. The DiamondIQ model's estimate had New York at just a 38 percent chance of winning before first pitch, a number that swung dramatically through the game's final two frames before settling at 100 percent when the final out was recorded.

The decisive sequence began in the top of the ninth, when Milwaukee mounted what appeared to be a game-changing rally against Austin Warren. Christian Yelich delivered a double that shifted win probability by plus 36.6 percent in the Brewers' favor, and William Contreras followed with another double worth an additional plus 20.4 percent, pushing Milwaukee ahead by a run. The rally, however, stalled when Garrett Mitchell struck out against Jefry Yan, a swing of minus 18.8 percent that proved pivotal. Yan finished as the game's top pitcher by WPA at plus 31.6 percent, with Zac Thornton and Nate Lavender contributing plus 22.6 percent and plus 19.3 percent respectively as the Mets bullpen steadied the ship.

New York then authored its own comeback in the bottom of the tenth against Trevor Megill. Luis Robert Jr. drew a walk worth plus 20.0 percent to the Mets, bringing the automatic runner into scoring position, and Christopher Morel followed with a fielder's choice that delivered the winning run and added plus 15.9 percent. Among position players, Yelich led all batters at plus 36.6 percent WPA despite being on the losing side, while Contreras posted plus 31.3 percent WPA and plus 1.6 RE24. Robert led New York's hitters with plus 24.8 percent WPA and plus 1.8 RE24 in a game the model's numbers identified as one decided almost entirely in its final two innings.