New York Mets at Chicago White Sox: Final Score & Recap

The Chicago White Sox defeated the New York Mets 6-4 at Rate Field on August 21, 2026, overcoming a four-run deficit to claim the win behind a burst of home runs and a decisive late blow. The DiamondIQ model entered the game favoring Chicago at 61% and closed at 100% following the final out.

The Mets built their lead through the first five innings, scoring single runs in the second, fourth, and fifth frames while holding Chicago scoreless. Brett Baty's double off Sean Burke in the top of the fourth carried a win-probability swing of plus-9.6 points for New York and was the Mets' most impactful individual play of the night. Chicago erased all of that in the bottom of the sixth, when Sean Manaea surrendered three consecutive home runs to Colson Montgomery, Miguel Vargas, and Randal Grichuk, swinging win probability by plus-15.3, plus-15.1, and plus-13.7 points respectively in what became the game's central sequence. That four-run inning put the White Sox ahead for good.

Jake Rogers then delivered the night's single largest play, a home run off Jefry Yan in the bottom of the ninth that swung win probability by plus-35.9 points and accounted for Chicago's final two runs. Rogers finished as the top performer by WPA at plus-28.3 with a RE24 of plus-1.1, followed by Montgomery at plus-20.5 and Vargas at plus-15.2 and a game-high RE24 of plus-2.1. On the pitching side, Grant Taylor led Chicago's relievers at plus-13.5 WPA, with Nate Lavender and Bryan Hudson contributing plus-12.7 and plus-10.6 respectively as the bullpen preserved the victory.