Atlanta Braves at Chicago White Sox: Final Score & Recap

The Atlanta Braves shut out the Chicago White Sox 2-0 at Rate Field on June 11, 2026, holding Chicago to just one hit across nine innings while the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a White Sox win fell from 47% before first pitch all the way to 0% by game's end. Atlanta's pitching staff was dominant throughout, and the Braves generated just enough offense on a night when runs were scarce on both sides.

The decisive moments came at the plate, where Austin Riley delivered the game's first run with a double off Anthony Kay in the top of the third inning, a hit the DiamondIQ model registered as a +12.5% win-probability swing in Atlanta's favor. Riley finished as one of the game's top performers by WPA at +13.6%, pairing that with a +1.1 RE24 mark. Michael Harris II added to the lead with another double off Kay in the seventh, swinging win probability an additional +7.7% toward Atlanta. Mauricio Dubón also stood out among Braves hitters, finishing at +10.4% WPA and a +1.1 RE24, contributing to the eight-hit Atlanta offensive output.

On the mound, Grant Holmes led all pitchers with a +19.6% WPA, followed closely by Didier Fuentes at +19.0% and Dylan Lee at +13.3%, as the three combined to lock down Chicago's lineup through the late innings. Fuentes retired Braden Montgomery on a strikeout in the seventh that swung win probability 7.4% against the White Sox, and Raisel Iglesias closed the game in the ninth by striking out Andrew Benintendi, a sequence that added +14.6% WPA to Benintendi's ledger from the batting-team perspective while ending any Chicago hope of a comeback. The White Sox committed one error to go along with their single hit, a performance that left the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a home victory at exactly zero.