MLB Recap · August 16, 2026

Chicago White Sox at Detroit Tigers: Final Score & Recap

CWS7
Final
DET5

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
CWS001021201780
DET031000100571

The Story

The Chicago White Sox defeated the Detroit Tigers 7-5 at Comerica Park on August 16, 2026, in a game that began as a promising home stand for Detroit before Chicago methodically seized control. The DiamondIQ model opened with a dead-even 50 percent home win probability and closed it at zero, reflecting just how completely the White Sox dominated the late innings to erase an early Detroit advantage.

The decisive swing came in the top of the seventh inning, when Munetaka Murakami connected on a home run off Tyler Holton, a play that shifted win probability by plus 23.3 percent in Chicago's favor and represented the single largest momentum-altering moment of the game. That blow capped a string of Chicago scoring that had already begun unraveling Detroit's second-inning cushion. Drew Romo had added a home run off Drew Anderson in the top of the fifth, a plus 16.1 percent WPA swing that kept the White Sox push alive, while Brett Callahan's triple off Sean Burke in the bottom of the second, worth plus 14.1 percent WPA, had given Detroit its early foothold. Javier Báez's groundout in the bottom of the eighth off Sean Newcomb cost the Tigers 16.5 percent in win probability, and Dillon Dingler's strikeout to end the ninth added another plus 14.4 percent from Chicago's perspective, sealing the outcome.

Among individual performers, Dingler led all players with a plus 29.9 percent WPA contribution in a losing effort, while Murakami finished at plus 18.7 percent WPA with a plus 1.0 RE24 and Callahan posted plus 13.5 percent WPA and a plus 1.9 RE24 to pace Detroit's offense. On the pitching side, Sean Newcomb was the standout for Chicago with a plus 18.1 percent WPA, followed by Hagen Smith at plus 12.3 percent and Tanner Rainey at plus 4.2 percent as the White Sox bullpen held the line through the final frames.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025CWS bats firstFinalDET win %CWS win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 49.5% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Munetaka Murakami — Home Run
Top 7th · off Tyler Holton
+23.3%
Javier Báez — Groundout
Bot 8th · off Sean Newcomb
-16.5%
Drew Romo — Home Run
Top 5th · off Drew Anderson
+16.1%
Dillon Dingler — Strikeout
Bot 9th · off Sean Newcomb
+14.4%
Brett Callahan — Triple
Bot 2nd · off Sean Burke
+14.1%

Top Batters by WPA

Dillon Dingler+29.9%-0.1 RE24
Munetaka Murakami+18.7%+1.0 RE24
Brett Callahan+13.5%+1.9 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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