Philadelphia Phillies at Minnesota Twins: Final Score & Recap

The Philadelphia Phillies handed the Minnesota Twins a 7-1 defeat on August 13, 2026, at the Field of Dreams, scoring in three separate innings and holding Minnesota largely in check throughout. The DiamondIQ model opened the game with each side at 50% win probability, but that equilibrium shifted decisively in Philadelphia's favor and never returned, ending with the model's estimate of a 0% chance for the Twins.

The game's defining sequence arrived in the fourth inning, when Kyle Schwarber connected on a home run off Taj Bradley that swung win probability by plus-17.9 percentage points, the single largest play of the contest. Bryce Harper added a single in the same frame for an additional plus-6.6 percentage point swing, turning what had been a competitive game into a commanding Philadelphia advantage. The Phillies had already taken a 2-0 lead in the first inning and tacked on two more runs in the seventh to close out the scoring. Minnesota's lone highlight came in the second inning when Luke Keaschall homered off Aaron Nola for a plus-7.4 percentage point swing, briefly giving the Twins a foothold, but Royce Lewis's lineout in the first and strikeout in the fifth each subtracted meaningful probability from Minnesota's chances, costing the Twins a combined 13.0 percentage points across those two plate appearances.

By the numbers, Schwarber led all position players with a plus-15.9% WPA and plus-2.0 RE24, while Keaschall was the Twins' standout at plus-12.0% WPA and plus-1.4 RE24 despite being on the losing side. Aaron Nola was the game's dominant individual performer overall, posting a plus-18.8% WPA across his outing, suppressing Minnesota's lineup and limiting the damage from Keaschall's early blow. Philadelphia finished with 12 hits and committed no errors, while Minnesota managed 8 hits but could not convert them into runs against a Phillies pitching staff that also received contributions from Brooks Raley at plus-4.1% WPA.