Houston Astros at San Francisco Giants: Final Score & Recap

The San Francisco Giants defeated the Houston Astros 4-1 at Oracle Park on August 11, 2026, handing Houston its loss behind a steady pitching performance and a lineup that found ways to damage Astros starter Hunter Brown repeatedly across the early innings. The DiamondIQ model opened with Houston holding a slight edge, assigning San Francisco a 45 percent pre-game win probability, but that figure climbed steadily before reaching 100 percent by the final out.

The decisive stretch came in the middle innings, where San Francisco constructed its margin through a series of high-leverage hits against Brown. The most consequential single blow was Bryce Eldridge's home run in the bottom of the fifth, which shifted win probability by 11.3 percentage points and extended what had been a developing Giants lead. Drew Cavanaugh's single in the fourth inning was nearly as impactful at plus 10.6 percentage points, and Drew Gilbert's single in the second had already set an early tone at plus 7.6 points. Christian Koss added a double in the sixth off Enyel De Los Santos worth 8.5 percentage points, and Willy Adames contributed a double off Brown in the third at plus 4.4 points. Houston committed two errors on the night while San Francisco played clean defense, compounding the damage.

On the individual side, Cavanaugh led all batters with a plus 10.8 percent WPA and a RE24 of plus 0.7, while Eldridge and Gilbert followed at plus 9.6 and plus 9.4 percent respectively. The pitching story belonged to Carson Whisenhunt, who posted a game-high plus 20.6 percent WPA, with Carson Seymour adding plus 10.6 percent in relief. JT Brubaker contributed plus 2.4 percent as San Francisco's staff held Houston to a single run on five hits across nine innings.