MLB Recap · August 10, 2026

Colorado Rockies at Arizona Diamondbacks: Final Score & Recap

COL0
Final
AZ9

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
COL000000000051
AZ43000002-9100

The Story

The Arizona Diamondbacks routed the Colorado Rockies 9-0 at Chase Field on August 10, 2026, a result that moved the DiamondIQ model's win probability estimate from a pre-game 68 percent in Arizona's favor all the way to 100 percent by the final out. The game was effectively decided in the first two innings, with Arizona plating four runs in the bottom of the first and three more in the second to build an insurmountable 7-0 lead before Colorado had mounted any meaningful threat. The Rockies managed five hits and committed one error while never crossing the plate, and a pair of double-play grounders and key strikeouts kept their half-innings short throughout.

Nolan Arenado was the central figure in the win-probability story, generating a combined plus-14.0 percent in WPA to lead all players on either side. His home run off Gabriel Hughes in the bottom of the first carried a plus-6.9 percent win-probability swing, and a pop out he induced — framed here from the batting team's perspective — represented a plus-7.1 percent swing in the bottom of the second as Colorado's Gabriel Hughes continued to struggle. Max Kepler contributed a plus-3.9 percent swing via strikeout in the first inning, and TJ Rumfield added plus-3.5 percent WPA to round out Arizona's most impactful offensive contributors. On Colorado's side, Willi Castro's strikeout against Michael Soroka in the top of the second registered as the single biggest negative play for the Rockies at minus-5.7 percent, while Cole Carrigg's fifth-inning double play erased another minus-3.8 percent from Colorado's win chances.

Michael Soroka headlined the pitching ledger with a plus-4.4 percent WPA, keeping the Rockies off the board and allowing Arizona's offense to coast through the middle innings. Zack Littell added plus-1.9 percent in relief, and Zach Agnos was a neutral factor at plus-0.0 percent. Colorado's pitching staff offered no similar bright spots, as Arizona collected 10 hits and spread the damage across the first two frames and again in the eighth, finishing with a clean scorecard and no errors on a thoroughly dominant night at home.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025COL bats firstFinalAZ win %COL win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 68% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Nolan Arenado — Pop Out
Bot 2nd · off Gabriel Hughes
+7.1%
Nolan Arenado — Home Run
Bot 1st · off Gabriel Hughes
+6.9%
Willi Castro — Strikeout
Top 2nd · off Michael Soroka
-5.7%
Max Kepler — Strikeout
Bot 1st · off Gabriel Hughes
+3.9%
Cole Carrigg — Grounded Into DP
Top 5th · off Zack Littell
-3.8%

Top Batters by WPA

Nolan Arenado+14.0%+2.9 RE24
Max Kepler+3.8%-1.0 RE24
TJ Rumfield+3.5%-0.0 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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