Atlanta Braves at New York Yankees: Final Score & Recap

The New York Yankees walked off the Atlanta Braves 3-2 in ten innings on August 7, 2026 at Yankee Stadium, a game the DiamondIQ model opened as a coin flip at 50 percent for the home side before ultimately closing at 100 percent in New York's favor. Both teams were held scoreless through seven innings in what became a pitching-dominated contest, with Max Fried leading all players at plus-33.4 percent WPA and Tyler Mahle contributing plus-28.8 percent WPA in a night that belonged to the arms until the final three frames unraveled the deadlock.

Austin Riley broke the silence in the top of the eighth with a home run off Fernando Cruz, a swing worth plus-18.7 percent WPA that gave Atlanta its only lead of the night. The Yankees answered in the bottom half, though the inning's most consequential moment cut the other way: Paul Goldschmidt struck out against Dylan Lee in a spot the DiamondIQ model valued at minus-22.1 percent WPA, a missed opportunity that briefly shifted the narrative toward Atlanta. The Braves pushed across another run in the top of the ninth to lead 2-0, but Ben Rice's single off Raisel Iglesias in the bottom of the ninth proved to be the game's single most impactful at-bat, swinging win probability by plus-36.2 percent and igniting a two-run rally to force extras. Rice finished as the game's top offensive performer by WPA at plus-25.9 percent.

In the tenth, George Lombard Jr. drew a walk off Tyler Kinley worth plus-20.0 percent WPA to load the bases, and Ryan McMahon capped the comeback with a sacrifice fly off Kinley that plated the winning run, adding plus-15.9 percent WPA. Lombard Jr. finished at plus-23.0 percent WPA with a RE24 of plus-1.3, and McMahon closed at plus-18.5 percent WPA for the night. Dylan Lee earned a plus-23.3 percent WPA line out of the bullpen, preserving the tie long enough for New York's offense to complete its improbable rally.