Pittsburgh Pirates at Milwaukee Brewers: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PIT | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| MIL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | 4 | 4 | 0 |
The Story
The Milwaukee Brewers defeated the Pittsburgh Pirates 4-2 on August 5, 2026, at American Family Field, with the DiamondIQ model's estimate moving from a 67% pre-game home win probability to a decisive 100% by game's end. Milwaukee did its damage early and held on, while Pittsburgh's late push fell well short of erasing the deficit.
The game turned in the bottom of the fourth inning, where the Brewers posted three runs against Paul Skenes in the game's most consequential sequence. Christian Yelich opened the damage with a double that shifted win probability by plus 11.9 percentage points, followed by a William Contreras walk worth plus 6.9 points, and then Andrew Vaughn delivered a single that added another 10.2 points to Milwaukee's advantage. The Brewers added a run in the sixth to push their lead to four. Pittsburgh mounted a partial response in the top of the seventh when Endy Rodríguez hit a home run off DL Hall, a swing worth plus 10.9 percentage points in win probability for the Pirates, but Nick Gonzales immediately grounded into a double play on the very next significant moment, costing Pittsburgh 10.0 points of win probability and effectively ending their rally before it could gain traction.
Among individual performers, Andrew Vaughn led all position players with a WPA of plus 11.2 and an RE24 of plus 1.2, while Yelich posted plus 10.1 WPA and plus 1.0 RE24. Rodríguez contributed plus 9.7 WPA and plus 1.1 RE24 in a losing effort. On the mound, Kyle Harrison was Milwaukee's most valuable arm by the DiamondIQ model's accounting, posting plus 12.3 WPA, with Abner Uribe adding plus 8.1 and Trevor Megill contributing plus 6.3 as the Brewers bullpen locked down the final innings.