St. Louis Cardinals at New York Yankees: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 2 |
| NYY | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
The Story
The St. Louis Cardinals silenced Yankee Stadium on August 5, 2026, defeating New York 3-1 behind a fifth-inning eruption that the DiamondIQ model's estimate identified as the decisive turning point of the game. St. Louis entered with a 40 percent pre-game win probability against the home side, and that number climbed sharply in the fifth when JJ Wetherholt laced a double off Will Warren that registered a swing of plus-22.2 percent in win probability, the single biggest play of the night. The Cardinals pushed all three of their runs across in that frame, and New York's lone run in the bottom of the sixth was never enough to seriously threaten the outcome. The final line showed St. Louis collecting nine hits against four for New York, with the Cardinals committing two errors that ultimately proved inconsequential.
The Cardinal pitching staff methodically closed the door from there, with the bullpen doing the heavy lifting in the game's final innings. Andre Pallante led all pitchers with a plus-18.5 percent WPA contribution, while Ryne Stanek added plus-13.3 percent, highlighted by inducing a George Lombard Jr. strikeout in the bottom of the eighth that swung win probability by minus-12.3 percent against New York's hopes. George Soriano contributed plus-8.3 percent WPA, including a sixth-inning stretch in which Ryan McMahon struck out at minus-12.1 percent for New York before Jazz Chisholm Jr. drew a walk that moved the needle plus-11.5 percent in St. Louis's favor. Riley O'Brien closed out the ninth for the Cardinals, getting Ali Sánchez to strike out for the final out, a play that registered plus-12.0 percent.
Wetherholt finished as the game's standout offensive performer with a plus-20.1 percent WPA and plus-2.1 RE24, affirming that his fifth-inning double was the central offensive moment of the contest. Sánchez posted plus-12.0 percent WPA despite a minus-0.2 RE24, his contributions coming in the game's closing sequence, while Chisholm Jr. rounded out the top three Cardinal bats at plus-9.1 percent WPA and plus-0.6 RE24. The DiamondIQ model, which opened the evening at 60 percent favoring New York, finished at zero percent as St. Louis completed a road win that was controlled almost entirely after the fifth inning concluded.