Minnesota Twins at Seattle Mariners: Final Score & Recap

The Seattle Mariners walked off the Minnesota Twins 4-3 on August 1, 2026, at T-Mobile Park in a game that tightened considerably before Seattle sealed it in the bottom of the ninth. The DiamondIQ model opened with Seattle holding a 52 percent home win probability, and while that edge shifted throughout the evening, it closed at 100 percent as the Mariners pushed across the decisive run without needing extras.

The biggest swing of the night came in the bottom of the ninth when Randy Arozarena drove a double off Andrew Morris, a hit worth plus-17.5 percent in win probability that set the stage for the winning moment. Cal Raleigh followed with a groundout that nonetheless added plus-16.9 percent, plating the run that ended the game. Seattle had to survive a dangerous Minnesota sequence first, as Victor Caratini's strikeout double play against Andrés Muñoz in the top of the ninth swung minus-13.7 percent against the Twins, effectively ending their last realistic threat. Trevor Larnach had given Minnesota life in the top of the sixth with a home run off Logan Gilbert worth plus-11.8 percent, and Weston Wilson's groundout against Taylor Rogers in the bottom of the eighth cost the Mariners minus-11.5 percent, keeping the Twins within reach entering the final frame.

Among individual contributors, Arozarena finished as the game's top batter by WPA at plus-18.5 percent with a RE24 of plus-1.4, his ninth-inning double functioning as the decisive catalyst. Larnach posted plus-16.2 percent WPA despite Minnesota's loss, and Brooks Lee added plus-14.6 percent for the Twins. On the mound, Andrés Muñoz was the game's most valuable pitcher at plus-20.7 percent WPA, his work in the ninth preserving Seattle's path to the walkoff. Taylor Rogers contributed plus-10.9 percent in his own right, and Tommy Nance added plus-4.3 percent as the Mariners' bullpen collectively protected the lead long enough for the offense to finish the job.