San Francisco Giants at San Diego Padres: Final Score & Recap

The San Diego Padres handled the San Francisco Giants decisively on July 31, 2026, at Petco Park, winning 7-0 behind a dominant offensive performance and lockdown pitching. The DiamondIQ model entered the game favoring the home side at 62% and closed at 100% as San Diego never allowed a foothold. The Giants finished with just two hits on the night while the Padres collected 12, a disparity that told the full story of a one-sided contest.

The game turned decisively in the fourth inning, where a pair of plays each added 6.3% to San Diego's win probability. Ty France lined a single off Adrian Houser to ignite the frame, and Jase Bowen then connected for a home run off Carson Whisenhunt to drive the Padres well beyond reach. France had already contributed in the third, when a single off Whisenhunt by Luis Campusano added 3.9% to San Diego's probability, and Campusano's groundwork in that inning continued to pay dividends. On the other side, Willy Adames grounded out against Yuki Matsui in the second inning, a swing that cost San Francisco 3.5% in win probability, and Grant McCray's strikeout against the same pitcher in the third dropped the Giants another 2.5%.

Among the standouts by the DiamondIQ model's accounting, Yuki Matsui led all players with a 15.0% win probability added, underscoring how pivotal his relief work was in neutralizing whatever life San Francisco showed. France finished with a team-high 9.4% WPA and a RE24 of plus-2.3, while Campusano posted a 5.5% WPA alongside a 1.2 RE24. Germán Márquez contributed a positive 2.4% WPA from the pitching staff as well. The model leans toward recognizing the Padres' pitching depth as the defining factor in a shutout that was never particularly in doubt.