Seattle Mariners at Los Angeles Dodgers: Final Score & Recap

The Los Angeles Dodgers defeated the Seattle Mariners 6-2 on July 30, 2026, at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium, a result the DiamondIQ model's estimate had anticipated, with a pre-game home win probability of 69 percent that climbed to 100 percent by game's end. Los Angeles scored all of its decisive runs in the first and fourth innings, building a lead that Seattle never meaningfully threatened. Bryan Woo allowed the damage in the fourth, when Dalton Rushing connected on a home run that added 14.9 percent to the Dodgers' win probability, the single largest swing of the night.

Seattle's most credible threat came in the top of the sixth, when Cal Raleigh drew a walk off Roki Sasaki that added 11.7 percent to the Mariners' win probability and suddenly tightened the frame with runners on base. That threat, however, was extinguished by Jack Dreyer, who induced a groundout from Weston Wilson that swung the probability 8.8 percent back toward Los Angeles, then struck out Rob Refsnyder to erase another 8.6 percent from Seattle's chances. Dreyer finished as the game's most impactful pitcher, finishing with a WPA of plus 19.8 percent. Teoscar Hernandez added a home run off Alex Hoppe in the bottom of the sixth to push the final margin further out of reach, a swing worth 5.7 percent.

Rushing led all position players with a WPA of plus 13.7 percent and an RE24 of plus 1.4, while Hernandez posted an RE24 of plus 1.5 to go alongside his plus 6.3 percent WPA. Raleigh was Seattle's lone bright spot by these measures, finishing with a WPA of plus 7.2 percent and an RE24 of plus 0.4, though his sixth-inning moment ultimately went to waste. The Mariners managed eight hits but were unable to convert them into runs when it mattered, and Dreyer's relief work in that pivotal sixth inning was the clearest reason why.