MLB Recap · July 28, 2026

Arizona Diamondbacks at Pittsburgh Pirates: Final Score & Recap

AZ8
Final
PIT7

Line Score

Team123456789101112RHE
AZ1211010001018151
PIT0000000331007144

The Story

The Arizona Diamondbacks escaped PNC Park with an 8-7 victory over the Pittsburgh Pirates on July 28, 2026, in a twelve-inning marathon that swung wildly before Arizona finally closed it out. The DiamondIQ model opened the game with a 53 percent home win probability for Pittsburgh, and the Pirates gave that projection every reason to hold entering the ninth inning. Arizona had built leads of at least one run in each of the first four innings and added another in the sixth, but Pittsburgh answered with a three-run ninth and a three-run tenth to repeatedly claw back into contention.

The single most pivotal moment belonged to Bryan Reynolds, whose home run off Paul Sewald in the bottom of the ninth carried a win-probability swing of plus 44.1 percent, erasing what had been an Arizona lead and knotting the game. From there the contest moved into extra innings, where Jorge Barrosa responded with a sacrifice bunt in the top of the tenth that added 32.0 percent in win probability for the Diamondbacks, helping Arizona retake the advantage. Pittsburgh countered again in the bottom of the tenth with a Jared Triolo fielder's choice off Kevin Ginkel that swung 20.4 percent back toward the Pirates, forcing yet another tie. Arizona ultimately pushed across the decisive run in the top of the twelfth, and when Tyler Callihan struck out to end the bottom of the twelfth against Gerardo Carrillo, that final out carried a win-probability swing of plus 31.6 percent, sealing the win.

Among the key performers, Callihan finished as the game's top contributor by WPA at plus 55.3 percent with a RE24 of plus 0.4, driven largely by a sacrifice bunt in the tenth that added 23.7 percent on its own before his strikeout ended Pittsburgh's final threat. Barrosa ranked second at plus 48.4 percent and led all position players with a RE24 of plus 1.7, while Reynolds registered plus 46.7 percent WPA despite his ninth-inning home run ultimately coming in a losing effort. On the pitching side, Brandon Pfaadt led Arizona's staff with plus 27.0 percent WPA, and the DiamondIQ model's estimate bottomed out at zero percent for Pittsburgh by the time the final out was recorded.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025AZ bats firstFinalPIT win %AZ win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 53.1% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Bryan Reynolds Home Run
Bot 9th · off Paul Sewald
+44.1%
Jorge Barrosa Sac Bunt
Top 10th · off Gregory Soto
+32.0%
Tyler Callihan Strikeout
Bot 12th · off Gerardo Carrillo
+31.6%
Tyler Callihan Sac Bunt
Bot 10th · off Kevin Ginkel
+23.7%
Jared Triolo Fielders Choice
Bot 10th · off Kevin Ginkel
+20.4%

Top Batters by WPA

Tyler Callihan+55.3%+0.4 RE24
Jorge Barrosa+48.4%+1.7 RE24
Bryan Reynolds+46.7%+0.6 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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