Colorado Rockies at Milwaukee Brewers: Final Score & Recap

The Milwaukee Brewers routed the Colorado Rockies 11-2 at American Family Field on July 26, 2026, a result the DiamondIQ model anticipated from the outset, assigning the home side a 75% pre-game win probability that climbed to 100% by the final out. Milwaukee wasted no time asserting control, as Jacob Misiorowski induced a Hunter Goodman strikeout in the top of the first that carried a +5.2% win-probability swing in the Brewers' favor. Colorado's lone moment of genuine threat came in the fifth, when Cole Carrigg connected on a home run off Misiorowski for a +8.3% win-probability addition, temporarily providing the Rockies a 1-0 lead heading into the bottom half of the game.

Milwaukee answered emphatically in the sixth inning, turning the game decisively. Andrew Vaughn delivered a home run off Kyle Freeland worth +8.0% in win probability, and Luis Lara followed later in the frame with a double off Jimmy Herget that added another +5.6%, as the Brewers plated five runs in the inning alone to take a commanding lead. The Rockies had a chance to stem the tide when TJ Rumfield came to the plate in the top of the sixth against Aaron Ashby, but a groundout produced a -4.6% swing against Colorado, effectively extinguishing any remaining rally.

On the individual ledger, Andrew Vaughn and Cole Carrigg each finished with a +6.4% WPA, though Carrigg edged ahead in RE24 at +0.5 compared to Vaughn's +0.2. Goodman posted a +5.9% WPA despite a slightly negative RE24 of -0.1, reflecting the situational value his early strikeout provided Milwaukee's pitching staff. Aaron Ashby led all pitchers with a +4.6% WPA, followed by Misiorowski at +4.1% and Chad Patrick at +1.9%, as Milwaukee's collective effort on the mound held Colorado to just five hits and kept the final margin a thorough nine runs.