Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Guardians: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 0 |
| CLE | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - | 13 | 19 | 0 |
The Story
The Cleveland Guardians routed the Minnesota Twins 13-4 at Progressive Field on July 20, 2026, a result that moved the DiamondIQ model's estimate from a 58 percent pre-game home win probability all the way to 100 percent by game's end. Cleveland seized control early and never relented, piling up 19 hits against a Minnesota staff that struggled to contain the Guardians' offense across all nine innings.
The second inning proved to be the decisive frame. Petey Halpin delivered the game's most impactful swing, a home run off Joe Ryan that shifted win probability by 11.4 percent, and Travis Bazzana added another home run in the same inning for an additional 5.0 percent swing, also off Ryan. Brayan Rocchio contributed a flyout that nonetheless registered a +6.3 percent win-probability addition, reflecting how thoroughly Cleveland had loaded the bases and stretched the lead. Minnesota briefly applied pressure in the top of the second when Brooks Lee tripled off Tanner Bibee for a +6.0 percent swing, but the Twins could not sustain any momentum, and Cleveland answered with another run in the third and continued to tack on through the seventh, when a three-run inning extended the margin to its final shape.
Halpin finished as the game's top performer by WPA at +13.8 percent with a RE24 of +2.9, while Rocchio added +10.1 percent WPA. Lee was Minnesota's lone bright spot among position players at +6.6 percent WPA and +1.1 RE24. On the mound, Tanner Bibee led Cleveland's pitching staff with a +2.3 percent WPA contribution, as the Guardians' collective arm held the Twins to four runs on ten hits with no errors on either side.