New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies: Final Score & Recap

The Philadelphia Phillies handed the New York Mets a 6-1 defeat at Citizens Bank Park on July 18, 2026, a result the DiamondIQ model saw coming from the opening pitch, where it placed the home team's win probability at 67 percent before the game began and watched it climb to a final 100 percent by the final out. Philadelphia did its damage in bunches, scoring two in the first inning, two more in the fifth, and two again in the sixth, while the Mets managed just three hits and committed three errors across nine innings against a Phillies staff that handled them with relative comfort throughout.

The single most consequential swing of the night came in the bottom of the fifth, when Trea Turner connected on a home run off Sean Manaea that added 10.6 percent to Philadelphia's win probability, the largest single-play shift of the game. Manaea had actually kept the Phillies quiet in the fourth inning despite some pressure, as strikeouts by Derek Hill and Bryson Stott swung the game against Philadelphia by 6.2 and 4.8 percent respectively before Brandon Marsh drew a walk to add 4.5 percent back in Philadelphia's favor. The Mets' lone bright spot came in the top of the second, when Tyrone Taylor launched a home run off Jesús Luzardo for a 4.6 percent swing, briefly making it a one-run game.

Turner finished as the top performer by WPA at plus-7.4 percent with an RE24 of plus-1.5, followed by Taylor at plus-5.7 percent despite playing for the losing side, and Bryce Harper at plus-4.8 percent with an RE24 of plus-0.9. On the mound, Jesús Luzardo was the standout contributor at plus-11.7 percent WPA, with Orion Kerkering adding plus-5.0 percent and José Alvarado contributing plus-1.4 percent as Philadelphia's pitching staff collectively smothered a Mets lineup that never found consistent footing in this contest.