MLB Recap · July 10, 2026

Athletics at Chicago White Sox: Final Score & Recap

ATH1
Final
CWS14

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
ATH000000100151
CWS00004082-14150

The Story

The Chicago White Sox posted a dominant 14-1 victory over the Athletics at Rate Field on July 10, 2026, a result the DiamondIQ model's estimate reflected clearly as home win probability climbed from 62% before first pitch all the way to 100% by game's end. The contest remained scoreless through four innings before Chicago broke it open in the fifth, sending the DiamondIQ model's estimate surging with each successive blow. Tristan Peters delivered the most consequential swing of the game in the bottom of the fifth, a single off Aaron Civale that added 11.8% to Chicago's win probability. Sam Antonacci followed with another single off Civale worth 8.3%, and Chase Meidroth's double in that same frame contributed an additional 7.4%, as the White Sox plated four runs in the inning to seize control. Oakland's Jeff McNeil grounded into a double play in the top of the sixth, a swing of negative 10.0% in win probability off Sean Burke that extinguished any realistic hope of a comeback, while Joey Meneses had done similar damage with a double-play ball in the top of the fifth at minus 6.7%. The White Sox then poured on eight more runs in the seventh and two in the eighth, finishing with 15 hits against an error-free afternoon of their own.

Peters led all position players with a WPA of plus 19.3% and an RE24 of plus 4.4, making him the clear offensive engine of the blowout. Tyler Soderstrom contributed plus 5.4% WPA with an RE24 of plus 0.8, and Antonacci added plus 4.1% WPA. On the mound, Sean Burke was the story, posting a game-high plus 18.7% WPA while holding the Athletics in check through the critical innings. Jacob Lopez followed with plus 6.9% WPA, and Elvis Alvarado chipped in plus 1.1%. Oakland's Aaron Civale absorbed the brunt of the damage in the fifth, surrendering the pivotal hits that defined the contest. The White Sox controlled all three phases and the DiamondIQ model leans toward crediting Chicago's combination of timely hitting and Burke's efficiency as the primary factors in what became a thoroughly one-sided afternoon.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025ATH bats firstFinalCWS win %ATH win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 61.8% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Tristan Peters Single
Bot 5th · off Aaron Civale
+11.8%
Jeff McNeil Grounded Into DP
Top 6th · off Sean Burke
-10.0%
Sam Antonacci Single
Bot 5th · off Aaron Civale
+8.3%
Chase Meidroth Double
Bot 5th · off Aaron Civale
+7.4%
Joey Meneses Grounded Into DP
Top 5th · off Sean Burke
-6.7%

Top Batters by WPA

Tristan Peters+19.3%+4.4 RE24
Tyler Soderstrom+5.4%+0.8 RE24
Sam Antonacci+4.1%+0.7 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

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