Colorado Rockies at San Francisco Giants: Final Score & Recap

The San Francisco Giants defeated the Colorado Rockies 8-2 at Oracle Park on July 9, 2026, turning what the DiamondIQ model opened as a modest 56 percent home-win probability into a decisive wire-to-wire outcome that finished at 100 percent. San Francisco's offense built its advantage incrementally through the middle innings before a four-run eighth inning closed the door completely, and the Giants' pitching staff held Colorado to just five hits with no errors committed by either club.

The game's pivotal sequence came in the fourth inning, where the two biggest win-probability swings occurred in close succession. Willi Castro's home run off Carson Whisenhunt in the top half briefly gave Colorado life, representing the single largest win-probability addition of the game at plus 20.0 percent from the Rockies' perspective. However, Tyler Freeman grounded into a double play moments later, swinging win probability back by minus 12.3 percent and extinguishing that Colorado threat. San Francisco answered immediately in the bottom half when Bryce Eldridge homered off Ryan Feltner for a plus 12.1 percent swing, and Luis Arraez's double in the fifth off Feltner, worth plus 14.1 percent, pushed the Giants' advantage further into comfortable territory.

Among individual performers, Castro led Colorado with plus 13.8 percent WPA and a RE24 of plus 0.9, though his contributions were ultimately insufficient. On the San Francisco side, Arraez finished with plus 13.0 percent WPA and a RE24 of plus 1.2, while Eldridge contributed plus 9.4 percent WPA and plus 0.8 RE24. San Francisco's bullpen was equally integral to the outcome, with Victor Vodnik posting plus 12.6 percent WPA, JT Brubaker adding plus 10.1 percent, and Erik Miller contributing plus 8.1 percent as the Giants' pitching corps collectively controlled the Rockies through nine innings.