MLB Recap · June 29, 2026

Chicago White Sox at Baltimore Orioles: Final Score & Recap

CWS8
Final
BAL2

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
CWS0020000248100
BAL101000000241

The Story

The Chicago White Sox handed the Baltimore Orioles an 8-2 defeat at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on June 29, 2026, a result the DiamondIQ model's estimate reflected in full as Baltimore's pre-game win probability of 46 percent collapsed to zero by the final out. Chicago broke the game open in two critical stretches, scoring twice in the third and adding two more in the eighth before a four-run ninth put the game firmly out of reach. Baltimore managed just four hits and committed one error, while Chicago rolled through with ten hits and a clean fielding effort.

The turning point came in the top of the eighth inning, where Colson Montgomery's double off Grant Wolfram swung win probability by 21.0 percent in Chicago's favor, representing the single most impactful play of the contest. Randal Grichuk followed with a single off Rico Garcia that added another 14.2 percent, effectively sealing any hope of a Baltimore comeback. Earlier, Jacob Gonzalez had set the tone in the third with a double off Shane Baz that moved the needle 12.8 percent toward Chicago. Baltimore's most meaningful moment came in the bottom of the third, when Gunnar Henderson drew a walk off Sean Burke to generate an 8.2 percent swing, though it failed to produce a sustained threat. A Tristan Peters double play in the second had already cost Chicago 7.3 percent, though the White Sox ultimately overcame that setback with ease.

Among individual performers, Montgomery led all batters with a WPA of plus 11.4 percent despite a negative RE24 of minus 0.8, his eighth-inning double proving decisive in the context of the game's flow. Henderson paced Baltimore with a WPA of plus 10.2 percent and an RE24 of plus 1.6, the lone Oriole to generate meaningful offensive value. On the pitching side, Grant Taylor led all pitchers with a WPA of plus 21.6 percent, edging Shane Baz's plus 20.6 percent contribution, while Chris Murphy added plus 7.4 percent as Chicago's staff held Baltimore largely in check throughout.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025CWS bats firstFinalBAL win %CWS win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 46.3% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Top 8th · off Grant Wolfram
+21.0%
Randal Grichuk Single
Top 8th · off Rico Garcia
+14.2%
Jacob Gonzalez Double
Top 3rd · off Shane Baz
+12.8%
Bot 3rd · off Sean Burke
+8.2%
Tristan Peters Double Play
Top 2nd · off Shane Baz
-7.3%

Top Batters by WPA

Colson Montgomery+11.4%-0.8 RE24
Gunnar Henderson+10.2%+1.6 RE24
Randal Grichuk+8.8%+0.0 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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