New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox: Final Score & Recap

The Boston Red Sox walked off the New York Yankees 5-4 in ten innings at Fenway Park on June 28, 2026, completing a comeback that began from a pre-game position where the DiamondIQ model's estimate gave Boston just a 40 percent chance of winning at home. The game was scoreless through three innings before Boston broke through in the fourth, when Caleb Durbin singled off Carlos Rodón to generate an 18.5 percent win-probability swing, part of a two-run inning that gave the Red Sox an early cushion. That lead held into the ninth, when Amed Rosario delivered a pivotal single off Justin Slaten that added 31.3 percent to New York's win probability and kept the Yankees alive, producing the game-tying runs in the top of the ninth to force extras.

The tenth inning settled the matter decisively in Boston's favor. Fernando Cruz took the mound for New York and surrendered three consecutive damaging hits. Anthony Seigler opened the damage with a single worth 23.3 percent in win probability, and Masataka Yoshida followed with a double that swung the odds another 35.4 percent toward Boston. The final blow came from Jarren Duran, whose walk-off single off Cruz carried the largest single-play swing of the game at 41.4 percent, pushing the DiamondIQ model's estimate to a final reading of 100 percent for Boston.

Duran finished as the game's top performer by win probability added at plus 41.2 percent with a RE24 of plus 1.0, while Yoshida closely followed at plus 35.4 percent and plus 1.1 RE24. Rosario was the standout on New York's side, posting plus 33.6 percent WPA and a RE24 of plus 1.3 despite ending up on the losing end. On the pitching side, Sonny Gray was the most valuable arm of the evening, contributing plus 39.5 percent in win-probability added for Boston, with Tyron Guerrero and Paul Blackburn adding 8.9 and 5.9 percent respectively in support.