Colorado Rockies at Minnesota Twins: Final Score & Recap

The Minnesota Twins held off the Colorado Rockies 3-2 on June 28, 2026, at Target Field, with the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a Minnesota win climbing from a 62% pre-game probability all the way to 100% by the final out. The Rockies struck first with a run in the top of the first, but Minnesota answered with solo home runs from Kody Clemens in the fourth and Ryan Kreidler in the seventh that proved to be the decisive blows. Kreidler's seventh-inning shot off Seth Halvorsen was the single largest swing of the game, adding 18.0% to Minnesota's win probability, while Clemens's earlier homer off Ryan Feltner contributed an 11.4% swing in the home team's favor.

Colorado's best chance to alter the outcome came in the sixth and ninth innings. Troy Johnston's single off Connor Prielipp in the top of the sixth represented the Rockies' most impactful offensive moment, generating a 12.5% win-probability swing that temporarily kept Colorado within reach. In the ninth, Braxton Fulford reached on a hit by pitch off Anthony Banda for a 10.6% swing, but Jake McCarthy's lineout against Yoendrys Gómez immediately erased that momentum with a 10.1% swing back toward Minnesota, effectively sealing the outcome.

On the mound, Yoendrys Gómez was the standout performer of the night, producing 25.8% of win-probability value for the Twins by navigating the late-inning threat. Ryan Feltner contributed a solid 16.2% WPA despite surrendering the Clemens home run, and Andrew Morris added 13.5%. At the plate, Ryan Kreidler led all batters with a 12.5% WPA and a RE24 of plus 0.4, while Troy Johnston paced Colorado's contributors with a 0.7 RE24, and Kyle Karros added 6.4% WPA for Minnesota. The final line showed Colorado managing seven hits and committing one error against Minnesota's clean eight-hit, zero-error performance.