New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox: Final Score & Recap

The Boston Red Sox defeated the New York Yankees 4-1 at Fenway Park on June 27, 2026, handing New York a lopsided loss that the DiamondIQ model tracked from a 39 percent pre-game home win probability all the way to 100 percent by the final out. Boston built its advantage early and never relinquished it, scoring in each of the first three innings while Gerrit Cole struggled to keep the Red Sox offense in check.

The decisive stretch came in the second and third innings, where Boston did the bulk of its damage against Cole. In the bottom of the second, a flyout by Tsung-Che Cheng shifted win probability by plus 7.3 percent, setting the table before Anthony Seigler connected on a home run off Cole that added another 7.0 percent to Boston's chances. The biggest single swing of the game came one inning later, when Willson Contreras laced a double off Cole that moved the DiamondIQ model's estimate by plus 11.6 percent, effectively closing the door on any realistic Yankees comeback. New York's lone run came on a Max Schuemann home run off Jake Bennett in the fifth, though Schuemann's strikeout against Bennett in the second had already cost the Yankees 7.7 percent in win probability at a moment when they needed baserunners.

Jake Bennett was the standout performer by the numbers, finishing with a plus 23.0 percent WPA to lead all pitchers, with Justin Slaten and Garrett Whitlock adding plus 6.6 and plus 4.5 percent respectively as Boston's bullpen preserved the outcome. Among position players, Contreras led the way at plus 11.1 percent WPA and plus 1.3 RE24, followed by Seigler at plus 7.3 percent WPA and plus 1.2 RE24. The Yankees finished with just three hits against a Boston staff that never allowed the game to feel competitive after the third inning.