Colorado Rockies at Minnesota Twins: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 11 | 1 |
| MIN | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 14 | 0 |
The Story
The Minnesota Twins survived a stunning late Colorado rally to defeat the Rockies 9-8 at Target Field on June 26, 2026, in a ten-inning thriller that saw the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a Minnesota victory plunge from a pre-game 62 percent all the way to near zero before ultimately reaching 100 percent. Minnesota built a comfortable cushion through seven innings, scoring two runs apiece in the first and second frames and adding three more in the fifth, but Colorado refused to fold. The Rockies clawed back with three runs in the eighth before Hunter Goodman delivered the gut-punch blow of the night in the top of the ninth, a home run off Anthony Banda that swung win probability by plus 60.3 percent in Colorado's favor and momentarily put the Twins on the brink of a collapse.
Minnesota answered immediately and dramatically. Byron Buxton stroked a single off Antonio Senzatela in the bottom of the ninth to shift win probability by plus 42.1 percent, knotting the game and sending it to extras. Colorado had one final chance to seize control in the tenth, but Ezequiel Tovar's fielder's choice out off Andrew Morris cost the Rockies 23.5 percent in win probability, and Cole Carrigg's groundout moments later added another plus 16.4 percent to Minnesota's side of the ledger. Royce Lewis then ended it with a walk-off single off Jimmy Herget in the bottom of the tenth, a hit worth plus 28.4 percent in win probability and the decisive blow of the night.
Goodman led all position players by WPA at plus 59.2 percent despite his team ultimately losing, pairing that figure with a RE24 of plus 0.7. Buxton and Lewis each finished at plus 1.5 RE24 and posted WPA marks of plus 45.2 and plus 29.7 percent respectively, making them the two most impactful contributors to Minnesota's comeback. On the pitching side, Taj Bradley led Twins hurlers with a plus 14.1 percent WPA, providing a stabilizing force that kept Colorado's earlier pressure from becoming insurmountable before the lineup took over.