Boston Red Sox at Colorado Rockies: Final Score & Recap

The Colorado Rockies defeated the Boston Red Sox 8-6 at Coors Field on June 24, 2026, with the DiamondIQ model's estimate moving from a 52 percent pre-game home win probability all the way to 100 percent by game's end. Boston carried an early lead, scoring in each of the first two innings and adding two more in the fourth, but Colorado steadily clawed back and then seized control with a three-run seventh inning that proved to be the decisive sequence of the game.

The pivotal moments were concentrated in Colorado's seventh and eighth innings. Troy Johnston's single off Danny Coulombe in the bottom of the seventh was the single largest swing of the game, adding 18.5 percent to Colorado's win probability, while Jake McCarthy followed with a single off Tyron Guerrero that added another 11.6 percent, collectively turning a close game into a Colorado advantage. Cole Carrigg then extended the lead in the bottom of the eighth with a double off Justin Slaten worth 11.2 percent win probability. Earlier, TJ Rumfield's double off Ranger Suarez in the third had added 12.6 percent for Colorado, and Andruw Monasterio's home run off Kyle Freeland in the top of the fourth had provided Boston's best single-play swing at 10.9 percent.

Among the standout performers, Carrigg led all batters with a WPA of plus-20.5 and an RE24 of plus-2.0, while Johnston contributed plus-18.5 WPA and Tyler Freeman added plus-16.5 WPA with a plus-1.1 RE24. On the mound, Antonio Senzatela was Colorado's most valuable arm at plus-12.7 WPA, outpacing Boston's Ranger Suarez at plus-8.6 WPA and Jimmy Herget at plus-6.3 WPA. Colorado's clean fielding, with zero errors compared to Boston's two, also reflected a more disciplined overall performance from the home side.