Boston Red Sox at Colorado Rockies: Final Score & Recap

The Colorado Rockies walked off the Boston Red Sox 3-2 on June 22, 2026, at Coors Field in a game that remained scoreless through eight innings before exploding in dramatic fashion. Boston broke through first, scoring twice in the top of the sixth on a Willson Contreras double off Ryan Feltner that swung win probability 15.7 points in the Red Sox favor, followed by a Caleb Durbin single that added another 11.7 points. Those two runs stood as the only scoring until the ninth, leaving Colorado facing a two-run deficit with three outs to play with. The DiamondIQ model's estimate had Boston's win probability sitting comfortably elevated heading into that final frame.

The bottom of the ninth unraveled swiftly for Red Sox closer Aroldis Chapman. Jake McCarthy delivered the decisive blow, a triple that shifted win probability by 61.7 points in Colorado's favor and stands as the single most impactful play of the game by a wide margin. Cole Carrigg then followed with a single off Chapman, adding another 18.2 points and completing the comeback. The Rockies pushed across three runs in the inning to take the 3-2 final. McCarthy finished as the game's top performer by WPA at plus 56.7 percent with a RE24 of plus 1.2, while Durbin paced Boston's offensive contributors at plus 13.5 percent WPA and a RE24 of plus 1.6.

On the pitching side, Jake Bennett led all pitchers at plus 30.6 percent WPA, and Garrett Whitlock contributed plus 13.3 percent WPA before Chapman surrendered the lead in the ninth. A Tyler Freeman single off Whitlock in the bottom of the eighth carried a negative 8.8 percent WPA swing, a moment that foreshadowed the late-inning tension. Colorado's 12 hits against Boston's 5 reflected a persistent Rockies offensive presence that finally converted when it mattered most, as the DiamondIQ model's estimate moved from a 52 percent pre-game home win probability all the way to 100 percent at the game's conclusion.