Cincinnati Reds at New York Yankees: Final Score & Recap

The Cincinnati Reds handed the New York Yankees a 4-1 defeat at Yankee Stadium on June 21, 2026, completing a wire-to-wire performance that left the DiamondIQ model's pre-game 65% home win probability drained to zero by the final out. The Reds struck first in the third inning with a run against New York starter Elmer Rodríguez, then blew the game open in the fourth when Tyler Stephenson launched a home run off Rodríguez that shifted win probability by +31.8 percentage points — the single most consequential play of the contest. That three-run fourth pushed Cincinnati's lead to 4-0, and the Yankees never mounted a credible answer. New York finished with three errors to Cincinnati's zero, a disparity that reflected the cleaner execution the Reds brought throughout.

The pitching staff carried the result home from there. Chase Burns led all pitchers with a +19.0% WPA contribution, working efficiently against a Yankees lineup that managed seven hits but could not convert them into runs through the middle frames. Tony Santillan followed with a +10.2% WPA performance in relief, stranding any late threat before it could develop — including a Max Schuemann strikeout in the eighth that registered a -5.6% swing against New York's chances. Caleb Ferguson added +8.8% WPA, and the trio combined to keep the Yankees to a single run, that coming on Anthony Volpe's lineout sequence in the ninth that produced no meaningful damage.

Stephenson was the clear offensive catalyst, finishing with a +31.6% WPA and +2.1 RE24 on the strength of that fourth-inning blast. Ben Rice contributed a +12.9% WPA to round out a quiet but effective Reds batting effort, and Blake Dunn added +4.0% WPA as Cincinnati's lineup did just enough against a New York club that squandered opportunities and its own fielding throughout the afternoon.