Minnesota Twins at Arizona Diamondbacks: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 20 | 0 |
| AZ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
The Story
The Minnesota Twins battered the Arizona Diamondbacks 16-8 at Chase Field on June 20, 2026, erasing a pre-game deficit in the DiamondIQ model's estimate that had set Arizona's home win probability at 58% before first pitch. Minnesota scored 2 in the first, erupted for 4 in the fourth, and then delivered the knockout blow with 10 runs in the fifth inning, effectively rendering the final four frames academic despite Arizona's 5-run seventh.
The turning point came in the fourth inning, where Ryan Kreidler's single off Zac Gallen shifted win probability 7.2 percentage points in Minnesota's favor, followed immediately by Trevor Larnach's single off Gallen that added another 6.4 points. Those back-to-back hits were the decisive sequence in a game that Gallen could not survive. On the Arizona side, the model's biggest negative swings came from missed opportunities early, when Adrian Del Castillo's flyout in the second dropped Arizona's chances by 7.7 percentage points and Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s pop out in the first cost the Diamondbacks another 7.4 points, both outs coming off Taj Bradley in what proved to be a tale of two starters.
Bradley was the primary individual story of the evening, posting a remarkable plus-26.0% WPA as the Twins' starter, reflecting the degree to which he personally held Arizona in check while his offense built an insurmountable cushion. Among position players, Larnach led all hitters at plus-11.7% WPA, while Kreidler contributed a team-high plus-3.6 RE24, meaning his plate appearances added the most raw run value on the night. Victor Caratini added plus-7.6% WPA and plus-2.0 RE24, his strikeout drawn in the first adding 5.5 points to Minnesota's win probability by extending Gallen's pitch count early. The Twins finished with 20 hits against zero errors, a dominant performance that the DiamondIQ model ultimately assigned a 100% final win probability.