MLB Recap · June 19, 2026

Cincinnati Reds at New York Yankees: Final Score & Recap

CIN0
Final
NYY5

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
CIN000000000040
NYY04000001-581

The Story

The New York Yankees defeated the Cincinnati Reds 5-0 at Yankee Stadium on June 19, 2026, a result the DiamondIQ model anticipated from the outset, having installed the home side as a 68 percent favorite before first pitch. The final win probability reached 100 percent, and the game's decisive sequence arrived in the bottom of the second inning, where New York put up four runs against Reds starter Rhett Lowder to effectively end the contest. Ben Rice delivered the most consequential swing of the night, a home run that shifted win probability by plus 15.9 percent in the Yankees' favor, followed shortly by a Jazz Chisholm Jr. home run that added another plus 7.4 percent. Those two blows accounted for the overwhelming majority of New York's win-probability accumulation in a single half-inning. The Yankees added a lone run in the bottom of the eighth to close out the 5-0 final, while Cincinnati managed just four hits and committed no errors.

Ben Rice finished as the game's top performer by the DiamondIQ model's metrics, posting a plus 16.0 percent WPA and a plus 2.6 RE24, the clearest individual contribution to the outcome. Chisholm finished second among batters at plus 5.9 percent WPA and plus 0.7 RE24. On the Cincinnati side, Blake Dunn's sixth-inning single off Cam Schlittler registered a plus 3.4 percent win-probability swing, the Reds' only notable moment of offensive traction, though it came far too late to alter the game's trajectory. Cam Schlittler led all pitchers with a plus 9.7 percent WPA, followed by Jake Bird at plus 2.9 percent and Brent Headrick at plus 1.9 percent. Lowder bore the brunt of the damage, surrendering both home runs before his counterparts on the New York staff closed out a clean shutout.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025CIN bats firstFinalNYY win %CIN win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 68.2% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Ben Rice Home Run
Bot 2nd · off Rhett Lowder
+15.9%
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Home Run
Bot 2nd · off Rhett Lowder
+7.4%
Paul Goldschmidt Strikeout
Bot 1st · off Rhett Lowder
-5.4%
Jasson Domínguez Strikeout
Bot 2nd · off Rhett Lowder
+4.0%
Blake Dunn Single
Top 6th · off Cam Schlittler
+3.4%

Top Batters by WPA

Ben Rice+16.0%+2.6 RE24
Jazz Chisholm Jr.+5.9%+0.7 RE24
Blake Dunn+5.8%+1.0 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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