Cleveland Guardians at Milwaukee Brewers: Final Score & Recap

The Milwaukee Brewers defeated the Cleveland Guardians 9-4 on June 17, 2026, at American Family Field, a result that aligned closely with the DiamondIQ model's pre-game estimate of a 65 percent home win probability that ultimately climbed to 100 percent by the final out. Cleveland managed just three hits and was unable to sustain any meaningful threat across nine innings, while Milwaukee built its advantage through a combination of early run-scoring and timely power.

The fourth inning served as the game's decisive sequence, though it cut in two directions. Daniel Schneemann delivered the most impactful single play for Cleveland, hitting a home run off Brandon Sproat that shifted win probability by plus-21.0 percent, briefly making the game competitive. Brayan Rocchio's walk in the same inning added another plus-9.2 percent swing, and Rhys Hoskins's strikeout represented a minus-5.4 percent turn that helped stall the Cleveland rally. Milwaukee answered immediately in the bottom half when Jackson Chourio hit a home run off Gavin Williams for a plus-17.4 percent win-probability swing, effectively neutralizing Cleveland's momentum. An earlier William Contreras lineout in the second inning had produced a plus-5.8 percent shift that kept Milwaukee's early cushion intact.

Among individual performers, Schneemann led all batters with a plus-18.9 percent WPA and plus-2.3 RE24, while Chourio followed at plus-17.2 percent WPA and plus-1.5 RE24, and Rocchio contributed plus-8.0 percent WPA. On the mound, Chad Patrick was the model's top-graded pitcher with plus-16.0 percent WPA, supported by Aaron Ashby at plus-4.5 percent and Daniel Espino at plus-1.7 percent, as Milwaukee's pitching staff held Cleveland's lineup to an error-free but largely ineffective afternoon.