MLB Recap · June 16, 2026

Pittsburgh Pirates at Athletics: Final Score & Recap

PIT6
Final
ATH5

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
PIT0001022016121
ATH400001000570

The Story

The Pittsburgh Pirates rallied past the Oakland Athletics 6-5 at Sutter Health Park on June 16, 2026, overcoming a four-run deficit to hand the home side a loss the DiamondIQ model's estimate had placed at 53% in favor of Oakland before first pitch. The Athletics struck decisively in the opening inning, plating four runs to build an early cushion that held through much of the game, but Pittsburgh gradually clawed back with runs in the fourth, sixth, and seventh before delivering the finishing blow.

The two most consequential offensive moments belonged to the Pirates. Bryan Reynolds supplied the game's second-largest swing with a seventh-inning home run off Hogan Harris that shifted win probability 26.2 points in Pittsburgh's favor, lifting him to a game-high plus-36.6% WPA and plus-3.1 RE24 on the night. Then, facing a one-run deficit in the ninth, Brandon Lowe crushed a go-ahead home run off Elvis Alvarado that produced the single largest win-probability swing of the game at plus-38.4 points, giving Pittsburgh the lead it would not relinquish and pushing Lowe to plus-27.7% WPA for the contest. Oakland's Zack Gelof had kept the Athletics competitive with a sixth-inning home run off Mitch Keller worth plus-12.2 WP points, finishing as the Athletics' standout at plus-23.7% WPA and plus-4.0 RE24, but his efforts ultimately fell short.

Pittsburgh's bullpen closed the door in the ninth with Gregory Soto retiring Oakland's last meaningful threats. Jacob Wilson's lineout represented the game's third-largest swing at plus-21.4 WP points in Pittsburgh's favor, and Tyler Soderstrom's strikeout compounded Oakland's collapse at minus-13.1 points. Among the Pittsburgh relievers, Yohan Ramírez, Mason Montgomery, and Mark Leiter Jr. each contributed positively by WPA at plus-11.2, plus-10.9, and plus-10.6 points respectively, collectively preserving a lead the DiamondIQ model's estimate ultimately placed at 100% for Pittsburgh by the final out.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025PIT bats firstFinalATH win %PIT win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 53.3% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Brandon Lowe Home Run
Top 9th · off Elvis Alvarado
+38.4%
Bryan Reynolds Home Run
Top 7th · off Hogan Harris
+26.2%
Jacob Wilson Lineout
Bot 9th · off Gregory Soto
+21.4%
Tyler Soderstrom Strikeout
Bot 9th · off Gregory Soto
-13.1%
Zack Gelof Home Run
Bot 6th · off Mitch Keller
+12.2%

Top Batters by WPA

Bryan Reynolds+36.6%+3.1 RE24
Brandon Lowe+27.7%-0.1 RE24
Zack Gelof+23.7%+4.0 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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