Cleveland Guardians at Milwaukee Brewers: Final Score & Recap

The Milwaukee Brewers defeated the Cleveland Guardians 2-1 on June 16, 2026, at American Family Field, a low-scoring affair that the DiamondIQ model's estimate pegged as a likely Milwaukee outcome from the start, assigning the Brewers a 63 percent pre-game win probability that climbed to 100 percent by the final out. Both offenses were held in check through the first three innings, with Milwaukee breaking through in the bottom of the fourth when Brice Turang launched a home run off Slade Cecconi, a swing that added 11.8 percent to the Brewers' win probability and stood as the game's only run until the seventh.

The seventh inning carried the decisive action in both directions. Gabriel Arias gave Cleveland life with a single off Aaron Ashby that added 12.1 percent to the Guardians' win probability, drawing the visitors level at one apiece and momentarily tightening what had been a relatively comfortable Milwaukee cushion. But Garrett Mitchell answered immediately in the bottom half, connecting on a home run off Hunter Gaddis that swung win probability by 15.8 percent back toward Milwaukee and ultimately proved to be the game-winning blow. Cleveland's chances deteriorated further in the eighth, when Kyle Manzardo struck out against Abner Uribe in a spot that cost the Guardians 10.8 percent in win probability, and a Daniel Schneemann groundout against Joel Kuhnel in the sixth had similarly drained 8.8 percent from Cleveland's chances before the comeback attempt even began.

On the pitching side, Robert Gasser led all players with a WPA of plus-19.5 percent, while Abner Uribe contributed plus-18.6 percent and Trevor Megill added plus-15.2 percent as the Milwaukee bullpen closed the door. Offensively, Mitchell finished as the game's top batter by WPA at plus-14.1 percent with a RE24 of plus-1.2, while Turang posted plus-13.9 percent and a RE24 of plus-1.4, the pair of home runs accounting for every Milwaukee run and the margin of victory.