St. Louis Cardinals at Minnesota Twins: Final Score & Recap

The Minnesota Twins defeated the St. Louis Cardinals 5-4 at Target Field on June 14, 2026, rallying from an early deficit to claim a win that saw the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a Minnesota victory climb from 44 percent before first pitch all the way to 100 percent by the final out. The game was scoreless through three innings before Minnesota jumped in front in the bottom of the fourth, when Victor Caratini launched a home run off Michael McGreevy, a swing that shifted win probability 18.7 points in the Twins' favor. St. Louis answered in the top of the sixth with a JJ Wetherholt home run off Taj Bradley, the single most impactful offensive play of the night at plus-21.8 percent, giving the Cardinals a brief advantage and momentarily putting Minnesota in a precarious position. That edge proved short-lived, however, as Minnesota responded in the bottom half of the sixth, with a Brooks Lee double play off McGreevy costing St. Louis 14.2 points of win probability and helping Minnesota retake momentum through the middle innings.

The Twins extended their lead in the bottom of the seventh on a Royce Lewis single off George Soriano, worth 14.7 points of win probability, and then effectively sealed the outcome in the bottom of the eighth when Ryan Kreidler doubled off Soriano to push Minnesota's advantage to its final margin, a play that added 18.2 points to Minnesota's win probability. On the offensive side, Wetherholt finished as the Cardinals' most impactful bat with a WPA of plus-28.4 and an RE24 of plus-1.9, while Kreidler led all Twins position players at plus-24.4 WPA and plus-1.2 RE24, with Byron Buxton also contributing at plus-20.2 WPA and plus-1.0 RE24. On the mound, Yoendrys Gomez was Minnesota's most valuable arm at plus-15.2 WPA, followed by Andrew Morris at plus-10.6, while McGreevy's mixed outing still netted a modest plus-1.5 WPA for St. Louis despite the loss. Minnesota out-hit the Cardinals 13 to 7, with the Cardinals finishing without an error and the Twins committing one.