St. Louis Cardinals at Minnesota Twins: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STL | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | 0 |
| MIN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 0 |
The Story
The St. Louis Cardinals defeated the Minnesota Twins 9-6 at Target Field on June 13, 2026, completing a comeback that erased a two-run Minnesota lead and ultimately rendered the DiamondIQ model's pre-game 43% home win probability moot, finishing at 0% for the Twins.
The game's turning point came in a decisive seventh inning that functioned as a collective execution of the Cardinals' lineup. Blaze Jordan's home run off Travis Adams swung win probability 19.4 points in St. Louis's favor, and the Cardinals were not finished. Iván Herrera followed with a home run off Justin Lawrence worth 17.0 percentage points, and Jordan Walker added another off Lawrence worth 15.3 points. That three-home-run seventh erased what had been a 6-4 Minnesota advantage and gave St. Louis a lead it would not relinquish. Earlier, the Twins had shown life through Luke Keaschall's fifth-inning home run off Matthew Liberatore, a swing that added 20.3 percentage points to Minnesota's win probability and briefly kept the deficit manageable, and Royce Lewis had connected off Liberatore in the fourth for a 9.7-point swing.
Among the individual performers, Herrera led all batters with a cumulative WPA of plus-20.2 and an RE24 of plus-3.0, making him the Cardinals' most impactful offensive contributor by the model's accounting. Blaze Jordan was close behind at plus-17.3 WPA and plus-2.9 RE24, while Jordan Walker added plus-17.5 WPA despite a slightly negative RE24 of minus-0.2. On the pitching side, Matt Svanson was the most valuable Cardinals arm, posting plus-10.4 WPA, with Ryne Stanek and Connor Prielipp each adding modest positive contributions as St. Louis closed out the 9-6 win on 13 hits and no errors.