Atlanta Braves at New York Mets: Final Score & Recap

The Atlanta Braves defeated the New York Mets 3-1 at Citi Field on June 13, 2026, completing a game in which the DiamondIQ model's pre-game estimate gave New York only a 33 percent chance of winning — a figure that ultimately fell to zero. Atlanta scored in isolated bursts, plating a run in the second, adding another in the fourth, and delivering an insurance run in the eighth, while the Mets managed their lone run in the sixth and could never string together enough to threaten the lead in any sustained way.

The decisive swings came from Eli White and Michael Harris II. White's fourth-inning home run off Sean Manaea shifted win probability by plus 11.2 percent in Atlanta's favor and proved to be the game's foundational blow, with White finishing as the top performer on the night at plus 19.8 percent WPA and a RE24 of plus 2.0. Harris extended the cushion with a solo home run in the eighth off Austin Warren, a plus 18.0 percent swing that effectively closed the door on any Mets comeback. The Mets' best threat materialized in the sixth, when Mark Vientos singled off Dylan Lee for a plus 12.4 percent swing that brought New York within two, but Vientos had earlier squandered a prime opportunity by grounding into a double play in the fourth against Martín Pérez, a minus 9.4 percent reversal that blunted the home team's most dangerous sequence. Juan Soto's ninth-inning double off Raisel Iglesias added a plus 10.9 percent jolt but amounted to little more than a cosmetic rally.

On the mound, Martín Pérez led all pitchers with a plus 14.6 percent WPA contribution, benefiting directly from that double-play groundout, while Robert Suarez and Sean Manaea each added over plus 13 percent to Atlanta's win probability. The Braves finished with seven hits and no errors, holding an error-free and efficient line against a Mets offense that scattered six hits but could not concentrate them into runs.