MLB Recap · June 10, 2026

Milwaukee Brewers at Athletics: Final Score & Recap

MIL3
Final
ATH4

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
MIL1110000003110
ATH00000130-490

The Story

The Athletics rallied past the Milwaukee Brewers 4-3 on June 10, 2026, at Las Vegas Ballpark, completing a comeback that swung the DiamondIQ model's estimate from a 40 percent pre-game home win probability all the way to 100 percent by the final out. Milwaukee had built a 3-0 lead through the first three innings, scoring one run in each of the first, second, and third frames, but Las Vegas answered with a single run in the sixth before erupting for three in the seventh to seize control for good.

The seventh inning was the decisive sequence of the night. With Chad Patrick on the mound for Milwaukee, Zack Gelof opened the damage with a double that added 10.6 percent to the Athletics' win probability. Lawrence Butler then connected on a home run off Patrick that swung the model's estimate by 22.4 percent, the single most impactful play of the game, erasing the deficit in one swing. Carlos Cortes followed immediately with another home run off Patrick, adding 15.8 percent to Las Vegas's win probability and completing the three-run burst. Milwaukee's best chance to respond came in the top of the eighth, but William Contreras grounded into a double play off Hogan Harris, a swing of negative 14.1 percent that effectively closed the door. An earlier double play in the bottom of the third by Alika Williams off Brandon Sproat had cost Las Vegas 11.4 percent, but it proved only a temporary setback.

Butler finished as the night's top offensive performer, leading all batters with a combined 22.4 percent WPA and a RE24 of plus-0.8. Cortes contributed a 9.0 percent WPA mark to support him. On the pitching side, Brandon Sproat paced the Athletics staff with plus-19.5 percent WPA, followed by Elvis Alvarado at plus-15.2 percent and Scott Barlow at plus-7.2 percent, a collective effort that held Milwaukee's 11-hit output to three runs and secured the win.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025MIL bats firstFinalATH win %MIL win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 40.3% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Lawrence Butler Home Run
Bot 7th · off Chad Patrick
+22.4%
Carlos Cortes Home Run
Bot 7th · off Chad Patrick
+15.8%
William Contreras Grounded Into DP
Top 8th · off Hogan Harris
-14.1%
Alika Williams Grounded Into DP
Bot 3rd · off Brandon Sproat
-11.4%
Zack Gelof Double
Bot 7th · off Chad Patrick
+10.6%

Top Batters by WPA

Lawrence Butler+22.4%+0.8 RE24
Carlos Cortes+9.0%+0.2 RE24
Sal Frelick+4.4%-0.2 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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