Atlanta Braves at Chicago White Sox: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
| CWS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 8 | 1 |
The Story
The Chicago White Sox defeated the Atlanta Braves 2-1 at Rate Field on June 10, 2026, with the DiamondIQ model's estimate moving from a 41% pre-game home win probability all the way to 100% by the final out. The game was largely a pitching duel through the first three innings before Chicago broke through in the fourth, where Derek Hill delivered a single off Chris Sale that generated a +7.8% win-probability swing, the most consequential offensive play of the ballgame by that measure. Hill finished as the top White Sox batter by WPA at +10.0%, while Braden Montgomery (+9.7% WPA) and Luisangel Acuña (+8.2% WPA) also made meaningful contributions for Chicago's offense.
Atlanta's best chance to claw back came in the seventh, when an error on Ozzie Albies off Sean Newcomb created a +10.4% win-probability swing for the Braves, and the ninth inning briefly kept Atlanta's hopes alive. Eli White drew a walk off Bryan Hudson for a +7.6% swing, but Michael Harris II's pop out cost the Braves 8.9 percentage points of win probability, and Jorge Mateo grounded out to extinguish the rally, surrendering another 7.1 points. Hudson finished with a +15.2% WPA for the White Sox bullpen, closing things out effectively after the door cracked open.
The pitching performance defined the outcome. Davis Martin led all pitchers with a dominant +32.7% WPA, controlling the Braves lineup through his innings and keeping Atlanta's one-run total on the board. Seranthony Domínguez added +10.8% WPA in relief, and Hudson's +15.2% sealed the win despite late Atlanta pressure. The DiamondIQ model leaned toward the Braves before first pitch, but Chicago's starting pitching and timely hitting in the fourth inning proved to be the difference.