Houston Astros at Los Angeles Angels: Final Score & Recap

The Los Angeles Angels walked off the Houston Astros 3-2 in ten innings on June 10, 2026, at Angel Stadium, with the DiamondIQ model's estimate entering the game at a near-even 49 percent in favor of the home side and closing at 100 percent after Donovan Walton ended it in the bottom of the tenth.

The game's decisive moment came when Walton singled off Bryan Abreu to plate the winning run, a swing of plus-29.5 percent in win probability that represented the largest single-play shift of the night. The Angels had needed that kind of heroics in part because Houston briefly seized control in the late innings. Cam Smith's home run off Chase Silseth in the top of the eighth moved the needle plus-18.6 percent for the Astros, and Shay Whitcomb had given Houston a lead in the sixth with a home run off Reid Detmers worth plus-12.1 percent. Los Angeles got a fortunate boost in the ninth when Nick Madrigal's flyout off Josh Hader, counterintuitively, added plus-14.0 percent to the Angels' win probability by stranding baserunners and preserving the tie, while a Trey Mancini double play in the seventh erased an Angels threat at a cost of minus-11.8 percent.

On the individual ledger, Walton led all position players with plus-29.5 percent WPA and plus-1.3 RE24, while Cam Smith finished second at plus-20.2 percent WPA despite pitching for the losing side in the final result. Madrigal rounded out the top three at plus-17.8 percent WPA. Among pitchers, Reid Detmers paced the Angels staff at plus-29.4 percent WPA, supported by Sam Bachman at plus-13.5 percent and Enyel De Los Santos at plus-11.8 percent, the latter benefiting directly from the Mancini double play. The DiamondIQ model leans toward crediting Detmers and Walton as the central figures in an Angels win that required all ten innings to secure.