Cincinnati Reds at San Diego Padres: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CIN | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
| SD | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 1 |
The Story
The Cincinnati Reds rallied past the San Diego Padres 5-3 in eleven innings at Petco Park on June 9, 2026, overcoming a game that the DiamondIQ model had assigned a 57 percent pre-game win probability to the home club. San Diego carried that advantage through the middle frames, as the Padres held a 2-1 lead after three innings and the game remained tight into extras. The Reds had knotted the contest heading into the tenth, then traded runs in that inning before Cincinnati pulled away with two in the eleventh to seal the decision, holding San Diego scoreless in the bottom half for the final margin.
The pivotal sequences were defined by dramatic swings in win probability. In the bottom of the tenth, Samad Taylor's single off Tejay Antone delivered the largest single-play shift of the game, a swing of plus 52.6 percent in San Diego's favor that temporarily gave the Padres commanding control of the contest. But Cincinnati answered emphatically in the top of the eleventh, when Sal Stewart connected on a home run off Yuki Matsui for a plus 33.7 percent swing that put the Reds back in front for good. Eugenio Suarez had already set the table earlier in the tenth with a double off Bradgley Rodriguez worth plus 31.3 percent. On the other side, Manny Machado's strikeout to end the ninth against Sam Moll cost San Diego 20.5 percent in win probability, and Freddy Fermin grounded into a double play in the sixth off Brock Burke that erased another 19.2 percent from the Padres' chances.
Among individual performers, Taylor finished as the top batter by WPA at plus 52.1 percent with a RE24 of plus 1.6, though his heroics ultimately came in a losing effort. Jackson Merrill contributed plus 27.9 percent WPA and plus 0.8 RE24, while Stewart's plus 24.7 percent WPA and plus 1.1 RE24 reflected his game-deciding blow. On the mound, Brock Burke led all pitchers with plus 26.2 percent WPA for Cincinnati, with Tony Santillan adding plus 15.8 percent and Adrian Morejon contributing plus 13.9 percent as the Reds bullpen ultimately held San Diego to three runs on twelve hits while committing no errors against the Padres' one.