MLB Recap · June 9, 2026

Philadelphia Phillies at Toronto Blue Jays: Final Score & Recap

PHI2
Final
TOR3

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
PHI100000001250
TOR000001002390

The Story

The Toronto Blue Jays walked off the Philadelphia Phillies 3-2 on June 9, 2026, at Rogers Centre, completing a late rally that flipped a game the Phillies appeared poised to steal. The DiamondIQ model opened with Toronto holding a 49 percent home win probability, and while that figure shifted dramatically across the final two innings, it closed at 100 percent in Toronto's favor after a frenetic ninth inning settled the contest.

The decisive sequence unfolded almost entirely in that final frame. Bryson Stott had given Philadelphia what looked like a crucial cushion in the top of the ninth, lacing a double off Louis Varland that registered a +34.0 percent win-probability swing and pushed the Phillies in front. Closer Jhoan Duran then entered for Toronto and promptly surrendered the go-ahead rally piece by piece. Jesús Sánchez opened the bottom half with a single worth +12.3 percent in win probability, keeping the inning alive. Yohendrick Piñango followed with another single off Duran, a +26.5 percent swing that knotted or pressured the lead further, before Brandon Valenzuela delivered the decisive blow, a single worth +41.2 percent that completed the Blue Jays' comeback. Toronto had also drawn first blood from Sánchez in the sixth, when his home run off Zack Wheeler accounted for a +15.3 percent shift.

Among the top performers by the DiamondIQ model's accounting, Sánchez finished as the most impactful Blue Jay overall, posting a cumulative +29.0 percent WPA and a +1.5 RE24, with his contributions spanning both the middle innings and the ninth-inning rally. Valenzuela's walkoff single produced a +30.7 percent WPA on the night, while Stott led all Phillies with +34.9 percent WPA despite being on the losing side. On the mound, Dylan Cease led pitchers with a +21.8 percent WPA, followed closely by Wheeler at +20.3 percent, though neither starter was able to preserve the outcome through the chaotic finish.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025PHI bats firstFinalTOR win %PHI win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 48.8% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Bot 9th · off Jhoan Duran
+41.2%
Bryson Stott Double
Top 9th · off Louis Varland
+34.0%
Bot 9th · off Jhoan Duran
+26.5%
Jesús Sánchez Home Run
Bot 6th · off Zack Wheeler
+15.3%
Jesús Sánchez Single
Bot 9th · off Jhoan Duran
+12.3%

Top Batters by WPA

Bryson Stott+34.9%+0.6 RE24
Brandon Valenzuela+30.7%+0.4 RE24
Jesús Sánchez+29.0%+1.5 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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