Los Angeles Dodgers at Pittsburgh Pirates: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAD | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 15 | 0 |
| PIT | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 2 |
The Story
The Los Angeles Dodgers dismantled the Pittsburgh Pirates 12-3 at PNC Park on June 9, 2026, turning what had been a competitive game into a lopsided final with a ten-run seventh inning that extinguished any remaining hope for Pittsburgh. The DiamondIQ model had opened with the Pirates holding a 40 percent home win probability, but by the time the final out was recorded that figure had fallen to zero, reflecting just how thoroughly Los Angeles took control.
The decisive sequence unfolded in the top of the seventh against reliever Wilber Dotel. Andy Pages delivered the most impactful single play of the game, a home run that shifted win probability by plus 15.8 percent in the Dodgers' favor. Shohei Ohtani followed with a double worth plus 15.4 percent, and later in the same frame Alex Freeland added a single that contributed another plus 7.9 percent swing, compounding the damage across what became a ten-run explosion. The inning before, Max Muncy had cracked a single off Paul Skenes in the sixth that carried a plus 11.8 percent win-probability swing, serving as an early crack in Pittsburgh's hold on the game. The lone significant play working against Los Angeles came in the fifth, when Freeland hit into a double play off Skenes that cost the Dodgers 10.0 percent in win probability and temporarily steadied the Pirates.
By the WPA and RE24 measures tracked by the DiamondIQ model, Muncy was the Dodgers' most valuable offensive contributor at plus 19.5 percent win probability added and a RE24 of plus 2.8. Ohtani finished at plus 10.3 percent WPA and plus 1.4 RE24, while Pages checked in at plus 10.1 percent WPA and plus 0.9 RE24. On the pitching side, Paul Skenes led Pittsburgh with plus 18.7 percent WPA before the bullpen faltered, and Los Angeles's Eric Lauer contributed plus 7.1 percent WPA in support of the win. Los Angeles finished with 15 hits and no errors against Pittsburgh's five hits and two errors, a clean execution that matched the dominance reflected in the model's final numbers.