Houston Astros at Los Angeles Angels: Final Score & Recap

The Los Angeles Angels routed the Houston Astros 10-1 at Angel Stadium on June 9, 2026, a game that was effectively decided before the third inning was complete. The DiamondIQ model entered the night with a nearly even split, assigning the Angels a 47 percent home win probability, but that figure climbed toward certainty as Los Angeles plated five runs in the second inning and added three more in the eighth, finishing with ten runs on ten hits against a Houston defense that committed three errors.

The decisive sequence came in the bottom of the second, where the DiamondIQ model's estimate shifted dramatically in Los Angeles's favor. Denzer Guzman's flyout, which carried a win-probability swing of plus 12.2 percent for the Angels, was the single biggest play of the game, a situational out that drove in runs and extended the frame against Kai-Wei Teng. Wade Meckler followed with a double worth plus 7.6 percent, and Jo Adell added another double at plus 3.7 percent, each hit deepening the damage. On the Houston side, Jeremy Peña's flyout to end the top of the second represented the largest swing against the Astros at minus 8.2 percent, snuffing out any momentum the visitors might have built against Walbert Ureña.

Guzman led all position players with a combined WPA of plus 16.7 percent, though his RE24 of minus 1.1 reflected the contextual complexity of his contributions. Meckler finished at plus 8.5 percent WPA and plus 3.3 RE24, making him the Angels' most productive run-creator by context-neutral measure. Adell contributed plus 5.0 percent WPA and plus 1.4 RE24. On the mound, Walbert Ureña was the pitching standout with a plus 13.9 percent WPA, holding Houston's lineup in check through the early innings and setting the tone for a lopsided final in which the model leans toward Los Angeles having controlled the game from the second inning onward.