Houston Astros at Los Angeles Angels: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOU | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
| LAA | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
The Story
The Houston Astros defeated the Los Angeles Angels 5-4 in ten innings at Angel Stadium on June 8, 2026, completing a comeback that erased a three-run deficit built in the second inning. The DiamondIQ model opened the game with a 45 percent home win probability for the Angels, and that number never recovered after a pair of late-game sequences swung the outcome decisively in Houston's favor.
The pivotal sequence began in the top of the ninth, when Christian Walker singled off Kirby Yates to shift win probability 33.9 percent in Houston's favor, the single largest swing of the game. Walker finished as the game's top performer by WPA at plus-37.5 percent with a RE24 of plus-1.6, making him the central figure in the Astros' rally. The Angels had received a jolt in the bottom of the seventh when Zach Neto hit a home run off Enyel De Los Santos, a swing worth plus-17.1 percent win probability that briefly stabilized Los Angeles, but the lead did not hold. In the top of the tenth, Brice Matthews singled off Sam Aldegheri for a plus-32.0 percent win-probability swing, giving Houston the go-ahead run. A caught stealing by Collin Price off Aldegheri added another plus-21.1 percent shift, tightening Houston's grip. The Angels' last realistic chance evaporated in the bottom of the tenth when Denzer Guzman lined out off Bryan Abreu, a play worth plus-31.6 percent in Houston's direction despite Guzman finishing with a RE24 of minus-0.9.
On the pitching side, Sam Bachman led Houston's staff with plus-10.8 percent WPA, followed by Ryan Zeferjahn at plus-8.3 percent and Samy Natera Jr. at plus-3.8 percent. The Angels committed one error in a game that ended with the DiamondIQ model's estimate of their win probability at zero percent, a reflection of how completely the late innings belonged to Houston.