Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAL | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 1 |
| TOR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 1 |
The Story
The Baltimore Orioles handed the Toronto Blue Jays a lopsided 13-3 defeat at Rogers Centre on June 5, 2026, turning what the DiamondIQ model opened as a virtual coin flip — a 52 percent pre-game home win probability for Toronto — into a complete rout by the final out. Baltimore scored in just four of nine innings but did its damage in concentrated bursts, most decisively in the sixth, and left Rogers Centre with 13 hits against a Toronto pitching staff that could not stop the bleeding once the Orioles took command.
The game's pivotal sequence arrived in the top of the sixth inning against Trey Yesavage, where Baltimore strung together the four most damaging plate appearances of the contest. Coby Mayo delivered the single biggest blow, a home run that swung win probability 22.8 points in Baltimore's favor and effectively ended any realistic path back for Toronto. Adley Rutschman followed with a double worth 16.4 points of win probability, Jeremiah Jackson added a single that moved the needle another 16.1 points, and Jackson Holliday contributed a double at plus 7.8 points. Toronto had actually grabbed a momentary foothold in the bottom of the fifth when Brandon Valenzuela connected on a home run off Brandon Young, a swing worth 21.1 points of win probability that briefly gave the home side life, but that proved to be the Blue Jays' last meaningful leverage moment. Baltimore then piled on with three runs in the eighth and four more in the ninth to finalize the margin.
Among individual performers, Rutschman led all batters with a WPA of plus 19.9 and an RE24 of plus 4.7, reflecting his contributions both within that decisive sixth-inning rally and across the broader game context. Mayo posted a WPA of plus 19.2 and Jackson finished at plus 17.5, making the middle of Baltimore's lineup the engine of the victory. On the pitching side, Young led Toronto's staff with a WPA of plus 4.4 despite surrendering the late-game runs, while Grant Wolfram and Adam Macko added plus 3.0 and plus 2.8, respectively, in relief work that arrived too late to change the outcome.