San Diego Padres at Philadelphia Phillies: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| PHI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - | 6 | 10 | 0 |
The Story
The Philadelphia Phillies defeated the San Diego Padres 6-4 at Citizens Bank Park on June 4, 2026, in a game that remained tight through six innings before a decisive third inning in the seventh sealed the outcome. The DiamondIQ model entered the game giving Philadelphia a 55% win probability, and that figure climbed to 100% by the final out. The Phillies built their lead gradually, with Bryson Stott delivering the game's first significant swing in the bottom of the fourth, a single off Lucas Giolito that shifted win probability by plus 11.8 points. Adolis García then extended the advantage in the bottom of the fifth with a home run off Giolito worth plus 10.6 points of win probability, pushing Philadelphia deeper into control before the Padres mounted their challenge.
San Diego's most consequential moment came in the top of the seventh, when Manny Machado connected on a home run off Zack Wheeler that swung win probability by plus 18.0 points in the Padres' favor, briefly tightening the contest. The Phillies answered in the bottom half of the same inning with a three-run rally, effectively ending San Diego's chances. Fernando Tatis Jr. had squandered an earlier opportunity in the top of the sixth, grounding into a double play off Wheeler at a cost of minus 5.4 points of win probability, a sequence that proved pivotal in preventing the Padres from seizing momentum at a critical juncture.
Stott and Machado finished as the game's top offensive contributors by the DiamondIQ model's estimate, each posting plus 14.5 WPA and plus 0.9 RE24. Brandon Marsh added plus 9.4 WPA and led all batters with plus 1.2 RE24, benefiting in part from a key Yuki Matsui strikeout of Marsh in the fifth that added plus 5.9 points to Philadelphia's win probability. Wheeler led all pitchers at plus 10.6 WPA, navigating the Machado home run while limiting broader damage across his outing. The Phillies finished with ten hits and committed no errors, while San Diego managed only four hits and were charged with two errors in the loss.