San Francisco Giants at Milwaukee Brewers: Final Score & Recap

The San Francisco Giants overcame a pre-game deficit in the DiamondIQ model's estimate — which opened at 74 percent in favor of Milwaukee — to beat the Brewers 12-9 at American Family Field on June 4, 2026, finishing with 20 hits against Milwaukee's 11. The Giants scored in three separate innings on the road side of the ledger, with a six-run seventh inning serving as the decisive burst, while Milwaukee's late three-run ninth came too late to threaten the outcome.

The game's biggest win-probability swings shaped the story early. David Hamilton's flyout in the bottom of the second and Garrett Mitchell's strikeout in the bottom of the first each carried a negative 11.8 percent swing against Milwaukee, both coming off Giants starter Adrian Houser, who finished as the game's top pitcher by WPA at plus-15.3 percent. On the offensive side, Drew Gilbert's groundout in the top of the first added 11.7 percent win probability for San Francisco off Coleman Crow, and Luis Arraez's groundout in the top of the second contributed another 9.4 percent. Jackson Chourio's home run in the bottom of the fifth off Houser was the brightest moment for Milwaukee, adding 9.9 percent from the Brewers' perspective, though it was not enough to alter the trajectory of the contest.

Among individual performers, Gilbert led all batters with plus-13.6 percent WPA, while Arraez posted plus-10.3 percent WPA to go along with a plus-0.3 RE24. Chourio was Milwaukee's standout with plus-10.1 percent WPA and a plus-3.7 RE24, the strongest run-environment contribution of any batter on either side. Behind Houser on the mound, Sam Hentges added plus-7.4 percent WPA and JT Brubaker contributed plus-6.0 percent as the Giants bullpen held Milwaukee's late push in check.