Los Angeles Dodgers at Arizona Diamondbacks: Final Score & Recap

The Los Angeles Dodgers held off the Arizona Diamondbacks 6-5 at Chase Field on June 2, 2026, in a game that the DiamondIQ model had opened with Arizona holding a 43 percent win probability. The Dodgers built their lead quickly, scoring two runs in each of the first two innings before the Diamondbacks began chipping away with single runs in the third and fifth. The decisive sequence came in the seventh, when Arizona rallied for three runs to pull within one. Nolan Arenado ignited that frame with a double off Kyle Hurt worth +10.2 percent in win probability, but Will Klein eventually steadied things, and Tommy Troy's forceout cost the Diamondbacks 14.6 percentage points of win probability and stalled the rally short of a full comeback.

Arizona's best chance to walk away with the win came and went in the eighth, when Arenado grounded into a double play against Will Klein, a swing of -27.3 percent in win probability that effectively extinguished the Diamondbacks' hopes. The ninth inning brought one final moment of tension, but Pavin Smith's groundout to end the game gave the Dodgers the final 21.4-point probability shift and closed Arizona out at zero percent. Smith was the most impactful Arizona player by the DiamondIQ model's estimate, finishing at +40.0 percent WPA on the strength of a crucial walk in the seventh that had added 18.6 points, though his team ultimately came up short. Shohei Ohtani led all players with a +2.6 RE24, while Corbin Carroll contributed +11.0 percent WPA for Arizona. On the mound, Will Klein was the most valuable pitcher in win-probability terms at +12.5 percent, with Eric Lauer and Edgardo Henriquez providing additional support to preserve the Dodgers' one-run margin.