Detroit Tigers at Chicago White Sox: Final Score & Recap

The Chicago White Sox defeated the Detroit Tigers 2-1 at Rate Field on May 31, 2026, with the DiamondIQ model's estimate moving from a 71 percent pre-game home win probability all the way to 100 percent by game's end. Detroit drew first blood with a run in the top of the first, and the score held there through six innings before Chicago rewrote the game in a decisive seventh-inning burst that proved to be all the difference.

The bottom of the seventh was where the contest turned irreversibly. Colson Montgomery delivered a home run off Drew Anderson that swung win probability by plus-18.1 percent, erasing the deficit and giving Chicago its first lead. Moments later, Tristan Peters added a single off Anderson worth another plus-15.1 percent swing, pushing the White Sox in front by two and effectively sealing Detroit's fate. On the other side, the Tigers had their best chance to extend their lead in the top of the sixth, but Riley Greene grounded into a double play off Chris Murphy, a swing of minus-10.3 percent that kept Chicago within striking distance heading into that pivotal inning.

Among the individual standouts, Tristan Peters led all position players with a plus-15.5 percent WPA and a plus-1.0 RE24, while Colson Montgomery contributed plus-15.0 percent WPA and plus-0.7 RE24. On the mound, Keider Montero was the game's most impactful arm, posting a remarkable plus-46.8 percent WPA by keeping Chicago off the board through the early innings, though the bullpen ultimately could not protect the lead. Bryan Hudson added plus-17.9 percent WPA in relief for Chicago, and Chris Murphy contributed plus-9.7 percent, preserving the narrow margin that Montgomery and Peters would soon turn into a victory.